Trump sees mixing trade, foreign policy as good politics
WASHINGTON вЂ” When President Donald Trump pulled the plug on an upcoming trip to North Korea by his secretary of state, he pointed a finger of blame at China and the global superpowerвЂ™s trade practices.
In his recent trade breakthrough with Mexico, Trump praised the countryвЂ™s outgoing president for his help on border security and agriculture.
Both developments offered fresh evidence of how Trump has made trade policy the connective tissue that ties together different elements of his вЂњAmerica FirstвЂќ foreign policy and syncs up them with his political strategy for the 2020 presidential election.
TrumpвЂ™s 2016 triumph was paved in part by his support among blue-collar voters in Midwestern manufacturing states that narrowly supported him over Democrat Hillary Clinton, including Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
His aggressive trade tactics, epitomized by tariffs and standoffs with longtime economic partners and allies, are aimed at reversing what he has long viewed as unfair trade deals while maintaining support among largely white, working-class voters who have been hurt by the loss of manufacturing jobs.
вЂњTrump understands that economic policy is foreign policy and vice versa,вЂќ said Stephen Moore, a former Trump campaign adviser and visiting fellow at The Heritage Foundation. вЂњThe most important element of foreign policy is to not just keep the world safe but to also promote AmericaвЂ™s economic interest. ThatвЂ™s what Trump does вЂ” this is America First.вЂќ
ItвЂ™s also good politics, in TrumpвЂ™s view.
вЂњItвЂ™s a populist position. But itвЂ™s also a popular position with a lot of Americans,вЂќ Moore said.
As he puts a high premium on trade gains, Trump is intertwining the issue with a host of top foreign policy concerns.
Trump, asked by reporters last week about North Korea living up to its commitments to denuclearize, said вЂњpart of the North Korean problem is caused by our trade disputes with China,вЂќ pointing to the U.S. trade imbalance with China.
вЂњWe have to straighten out our trade relationship because too much money is being lost by us,вЂќ Trump said. вЂњAnd as you know, China is the route to North Korea.вЂќ
Trade has been a common refrain at the presidentвЂ™s rallies, where he has vowed to pursue вЂњfair and reciprocal trade.вЂќ
вЂњWe donвЂ™t want stupid trade like we had for so long,вЂќ Trump said during a rally in Duluth, Minnesota, in June.
TrumpвЂ™s second year as president has been marked by a number of trade disputes with traditional U.S. allies and global rivals alike, an approach cemented by his tweet that вЂњtrade wars are good.вЂќ
He imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports in March, prompting retaliation from the European Union and other American allies. Later in the month, Trump announced tariffs on China to combat what he called the theft of U.S. technology from a wide range of goods and services.
China struck back with its own sanctions on a variety of U.S. products, including Midwest farm-produced soybeans in a way to hit hard against the presidentвЂ™s base of voters. The two sides have clashed during the spring and summer, raising the stakes in their trade fight.
In late July, Trump and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker reached a temporary deal at the White House to avert tariffs on automobile imports and a ramping up of their trade dispute вЂ” although the threat still remains.
After a breakthrough with Mexico, TrumpвЂ™s team has been engaged in talks with Canada aimed at creating a new version of the 24-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement.
While previous administrations have often used a carrot-and-stick approach to trade as a way to forge agreements, before TrumpвЂ™s arrival trade agendas had emphasized multi-lateral and bilateral deals aimed at maintaining U.S. leadership around the world, promoting American values and improving human rights.
This administration, by contrast, вЂњis leveraging foreign policy tools to achieve its trade goals,вЂќ said Lori Wallach, director of Public CitizenвЂ™s Global Trade Watch.
Critics say TrumpвЂ™s insistence on trade concessions could hamper his ability to move forward in other areas.
On North Korea, for example, Trump has sought to turn his meeting with Kim Jong Un into a vivid example of how his unconventional style can bring longstanding U.S. adversaries to the bargaining table.
But by raising ChinaвЂ™s trade practices as essential to any progress to ensuring North Korea gets rid of its nuclear weapons, Trump runs the risk of getting bogged down in both areas вЂ” and having little to show for it.
Mixing foreign policy and trade policy introduces so many variables itвЂ™s вЂњvirtually impossible to close on a precise policy decision,вЂќ said Daniel Ujczo, a trade attorney with Dickinson Wright PLLC in Columbus, Ohio. вЂњYouвЂ™re constantly chasing after the next issue as opposed to having a very targeted approach to the objective.вЂќ